Saturday, February 25, 2012
OK, so I probably should have posted this a while ago. But truthfully, I'm no better at predicting these than Entertainment Weekly or any of the seasoned pros. So if you really want to score in your Oscar pool, just check out EW.com and who won the Critics Choice Movie Awards (CCMA), the Golden Globes, and the other 9000 awards shows that took place in the last 8 weeks. Nevertheless, here are my picks:
The six major awards are almost a lock. You'd be crazy to pick anything other than the following:
Picture: The Artist
Actor: George Clooney
Actress: Viola Davis (although Meryl Streep is always a strong possibility)
Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer (although Max Von Sydow is a contender)
Supporting Actress: Octavia Spencer
Director: Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist
The following four are very good bets:
Original Screenplay: Midnight in Paris
Adapted Screenplay: The Descendants (or possibly Moneyball)
Animated film: Rango
Foreign Language: A Separation (or possibly In Darkness)
The technical awards are a lot tougher to predict, so I use EW as a guide:
Cinematography: Probably Tree of Life (but it also could be War Horse or Hugo)
Costume: The Artist
Makeup: EW says The Iron Lady. I'm going with Harry Potter, which won at the CCMA.
Score: The Artist. (But War Horse was good too.)
Song: I liked the soundtrack to Rio better, but Man or Muppet will win.
Art Direction: Hugo won at the CCMA and EW predicts the same. I'd love to say Harry Potter, but I'll stick with the favorite: Hugo.
Visual Effects: Rise of the Planet of the Apes won at the CCMA and EW predicts the same. I'd love to say Harry Potter, but I'll stick with the favorite: Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Editing: The Artist
Sound Mixing: EW says Hugo. I have no idea, but Transformers 3 just feels like a better pick.
Sound Editing: EW says Hugo. I have no idea, but Transformers 3 just feels like a better pick.
I haven't seen the docs or the shorts, so I have no idea. I defer to EW:
Doc: Paradise Lost 3
Animated Short: The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore
Live Short: The Shore
Doc Short: Saving Face
We'll see tomorrow night how I fared.